China’s Population Decline Continues for Third Year Despite Slight Rise in Births
China population fell for the third consecutive year in 2024, with a decline of over 1.39 million people, bringing the total population to 1.408 billion, according to data released by the National Statistics Bureau on Friday. Despite a slight increase in births, the long-term demographic challenges facing the country remain a significant concern for its economic future.
In 2024, approximately 9.54 million babies were born in China, 520,000 more than in the previous year. This increase is partially attributed to the cultural belief that the Year of the Dragon, considered an auspicious year in the Chinese zodiac, is a favorable time to have children.
Reasons for the Rise in Births:
However, experts remain cautious about the sustainability of this increase. He Yafu, an independent demographer, predicted a likely decline in the number of newborns in 2025, reflecting the ongoing challenges of reversing China’s declining birth rate.
The annual population drop highlights the Chinese government’s struggles to combat a falling birth rate despite various policy adjustments in recent years.
China’s demographic challenges could have far-reaching consequences for the nation’s economic future.
In response to the demographic crisis, the Chinese government has introduced several measures aimed at encouraging couples to have more children:
Despite these measures, achieving significant results remains difficult. Bloomberg Intelligence estimates that China’s population could shrink to 1.36 billion by 2035, returning to levels not seen since 2012.
China’s declining population presents an urgent need for structural reforms and policy innovations. While recent efforts have aimed to alleviate some of the pressure, sustained improvements in birth rates will require addressing the broader social and economic factors deterring family growth.
Without meaningful intervention, the demographic challenges could severely impact China’s position as a global economic powerhouse in the coming decades.
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